1. Define the target market
- Who are the core users/customers you are focusing on initially?
- What is the size of this target market? Use public data if available.
2. Estimate market penetration
- Within your target market, estimate what % might realistically become customers
- Explain your assumptions and logic for the penetration rate
3. Calculate potential revenue
- Estimate what an average customer is worth in annual revenue
- Multiply estimated customers by annual revenue per customer
- Factor in growth rates to project future market size
4. Assess adjacent opportunities
- Beyond the core target market, what other user segments could you expand to?
- Estimate the size of those adjacent markets for future growth potential
5. Determine path to $1B+ valuation
- Articulate how your revenue projections enable a $1B+ market cap
- Highlight growth levers (new products, segments, geographies, etc.) to get there
6. Sanity check
- Do a reality check on your assumptions and compare to industry benchmarks
- Investors will poke holes, so be ready to defend numbers with logic and data
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