Created at 150923 # [Anonymous feedback](https://www.admonymous.co/louis030195) # [[Epistemic status]] #shower-thought Last modified date: 150923 Commit: 0 # Related - [[Philosophy/Rationality/Models/Antifragility|antifragility]] - [[Philosophy/Rationality/Models/Lindy Effect|Lindy Effect]] # antifragility x lindy effect Imagine a forest regularly exposed to small forest fires. Over time, the most fragile trees burn down while the fire-resistant ones survive. After decades of fires, the only trees left standing are those sturdy, flame-resistant ones. The longevity of the remaining trees is proportional to their age - a demonstration of the Lindy Effect. The periodic fires filter for antifragility, leaving the most robust trees. Their antifragility is both a product of age and a driver of longevity. ![an ominous, slender black stylized silhouette walking towards an epic forest of red trees by eyvind earle, centered composition, symmetrical ](https://lexica-serve-encoded-images.sharif.workers.dev/md/004612a8-5342-4209-b2d6-13734eaca035) The Lindy Effect and antifragility are related concepts that describe how certain systems or ideas gain strength over time. Here are some key connections between them: - The Lindy Effect states that the future life expectancy of a non-perishable thing is proportional to its current age. The older something is, the longer it is likely to persist into the future. This applies to ideas, technologies, institutions, etc. - Antifragility refers to things that gain from disorder and volatility. Antifragile systems become stronger when stressed. What doesn't kill them makes them stronger. - Both concepts describe positive feedback loops or virtuous cycles. The longer something survives, the more antifragile it becomes, which further enhances its life expectancy (Lindy Effect). Its antifragility helps it persist. - Time is a filter that helps sort the fragile from the antifragile. The Lindy Effect describes what's left after this filtering process. What persists tends to be antifragile. - Antifragility implies that some things benefit from small stresses and volatility. The Lindy Effect suggests that things that survive a long time are likely to be antifragile. - Both ideas suggest that the past is a filter for quality and longevity. The older something is, the better it has proven to be. Age implies antifragility and greater life expectancy. In summary, the Lindy Effect describes the longevity of antifragile systems. The more antifragile something is, the longer it is likely to persist due to the Lindy Effect. Time filters for antifragility, which enhances longevity.