#rationality #personal-growth Created at 2023-02-12 # [Anonymous feedback](https://www.admonymous.co/louis030195) # [[Epistemic status]] #shower-thought Last modified date: 2023-02-12 Commit: 0 # Related # TODO > [!TODO] TODO # [[Forecasting]] Created at: 120223 The [[Personal growth/Goal|goal]] is to train your [[Mind|mind]] to forecast in real-time and make this [[System 2]] cognitive process a [[System 1]] process. **Link** https://www.metaculus.com/questions/13920/no-of-nationalities-to-have-visited-the-moon/ ## Time investment Maximum minutes: 5 Actual minutes: 2 ## Newly acquired [[Information|information]] List new information collected with sources. - Only page mc page wikipedia ## [[Reasoning]] process Describe your thinking process. **prediction is 19 – 21** - [[Technological innovation]] is exponential - in 2022 only 1 nationality visited the moon (american) - spacex reusable rocket 10x down rocket prices - space tourism is live? and only 500k? - by 2030 space tourism will be close to airplane tourism in term of accessibility (x10 more expensive roughly) ## Afterthoughts - who even give a shit visiting moon beyond tourism? - any financial interests? - I don't have any [[Philosophy/Epistemology/Knowledge|knowledge]] in this area