# Metadata Source URL:: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inverse_gambler%27s_fallacy Topics:: #rationality --- # Inverse gambler's fallacy - Wikipedia ## Highlights > [!quote]+ Updated on 301022_181557 > > The inverse gambler's fallacy, named by philosopher Ian Hacking, is a formal fallacy of Bayesian inference which is an inverse of the better known gambler's fallacy. It is the fallacy of concluding, on the basis of an unlikely outcome of a random process, that the process is likely to have occurred many times before > [!quote]+ Updated on 301022_181635 > > The argument from design asserts, first, that the universe is fine tuned to support life, and second, that this fine tuning points to the existence of an intelligent designer. The rebuttal attacked by Hacking consists of accepting the first premise, but rejecting the second on the grounds that our (big bang) universe is just one in a long sequence of universes, and that the fine tuning merely shows that there have been many other (poorly tuned) universes preceding this one